ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles Industry Analysis, Edition 2018

Penetration & Sales Demand (Level 1+2; Level 3 – Highway Autopilot & Long-haul Platooning; Level 4 – Highway Autopilot, Park Assist, Urban Autopilot – Robotaxis, Shuttles, Pods); Market Size, Sales, & Pricing Analysis of AV Sensors (Camera, Radar, LiDAR)

Published: 25 Jan 2018

Key Highlights


The first most exhaustive and comprehensive assessment and forecast of the ADAS and autonomous driving vehicles and technologies market.

Here are few highlights of the most trusted research report on ADAS and AV industry

o    More than 350 pages of analysis 
o    More than 250 companies across supply chain are analyzed
o    180+ data tables on penetration, sales demand, and pricing
o    150+ deep infographics on the market 
o    Dedicated 60+ interviews conducted with key players 
o    More than 30 key players deep profiles are covered 
o    AV development tracking of 10 OEMs & 15 Tier 1 suppliers
o    Regulatory framework across automotive markets
o    Safety ratings by automotive regulatory authorities
o    5 AV building blocks breakdown analysis
o    Market penetration and sales forecast by levels of automation

Exhaustive Coverage


The report gives a helicopter view of the major building blocks of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving industry. Each of these blocks and their sublayers are itself industry with huge market potential.  

First.

ADAS and autonomous driving in passenger and commercial vehicle industry which includes breakdown of each vehicle type by SAE levels of automationlevel 1 (ADAS), level 2 (partial automation which also includes complex levels such as level 2+ and level 2++), level 3 (conditional automation features of Highway Autopilot and Traffic Jam Assists in passenger vehicles while Long-haul platooning in trucks), level 4 (high automation features of Highway Autopilot, Automated Valet Parking, and slow-urban moving robotic vehicles such as robotaxis, autonomous shuttles, autonomous pods or delivery vehicles), and future possibility of level 5 vehicles
 
This includes market penetration, sales demand, and forecast by levels of automation across all the major automotive markets


ADAS and Autonomous Driving - Levels of automation in passenger and commercial vehicles


Second.

In-depth market analysis (including market size, sensor shipments, and pricing analysis) of key building blocks of autonomous drivingcameras (in-cabin, driver monitoring systems, thermal/night vision/infrared, surround view, forward ADAS/main), radars (long-range, short-range, and medium-range radars), LiDARs (mechanical scanning, MEMS, solid-state, FMCW, OPA, flash, among others), ultrasonic sensors, HD maps, high-precision GNSS with correction services, processors, machine learning and AI, among others

ADAS and Autonomous Driving - Enabling Technologies Sensors, Mapping and Localization, Communication, and AI

Third.

Regulatory frameworks developments to enable autonomous driving across leading automotive markets (China, United States, and countries in Western Europe) and evaluating the impact on the launch timelines

Assessing ADAS functions and autonomy packages of OEM brands by models and trim levels to anticipate who will lead in the AV development race 

Assessing autonomous driving solutions from new autonomous vehicles companies such as Waymo, Baidu, Uber, Lyft, and 15 others to understand the shared AV and robotic vehicles ecosystem 

Accessing ADAS and autonomous technology development platforms and solutions by Tier 1 suppliers such as Valeo, Bosch, Continental, Autoliv, Veoneer, among 30 others 

Partnerships, Collaborations, and M&As in the ADAS and autonomous driving industry in last couple of years 

Investments tracker in leading and emerging companies in the ADAS and autonomous driving industry in last couple of years 

Supply chain analysis to understand who is supplying to whom in the multi-layer ecosystem 

Market Overview


When will automation arrives?


Self-driving vehicles - levels of automation and time of commercialization


We estimate that ~63.9 million passenger cars will be sold with some kind of autonomous features by 2030 


By 2030, there will be more cars sold globally with ADAS features than without. Specifically, ~30 million cars will be ADAS featured, ~24 million cars will be with Level 2 capability, ~6 million cars with Level 3 features, and 5.3 million cars will be highly autonomous and driverless
In 2017, around 8.2 million cars are equipped with some form of automation globally. Out of which, 5.2 million cars are sold in NAFTA and Europe. China will be the biggest market for ADAS and Level 2 featured cars with more than 10 million ADAS featured cars and 5 million Level 2 featured cars by 2030
The high-level automation will arrive first in the developed market such as the U.S., Western Europe, and Japan. China will be one of the potential markets other than developed markets to commercialize driverless cars with shared mobility services
Driverless/Fully Autonomous cars with shared capability will arrive in the market around 2023 with level 4 (owned) cars, because they will be introduced in restricted areas first
OEMs will become mobility service providers as a means to retain the customer relationship and offset the risks of decreased car shipments
 

How are technologies changing the industry dynamics? 


OEMs will retain the control over producing the cars, while technology companies such as Google, Uber and Intel among others could be those providing the intelligence behind them, including the relationship with passengers. Deep learning and AI are the core innovation ahead of sensors
Adding level 3 assistance in vehicles will cost 80% more than installing level 2 features - level 4 will be a further XX% more expensive!
LiDAR sensors are currently used for testing of highly autonomous and driverless car technologies with price of more than $XX. The fall in LiDAR prices to below $XX will dramatically reduce the cost of level 3 systems from 2019 onwards. While the cost of LiDAR is expected to further fall down to $XX by 2030 with small form factor
Level 4 automation will shift the way OEMs market and sell vehicles. The car will become a second office or living room
OEMs will become peer-to-peer car sharing platforms, encouraging owners / lessees to share their cars to make them more affordable
Going further, automation will blur the lines between ownership and sharing. Owners are expected to share their cars and also use other’s shared cars if their own is not available
 
Read more by downloading free copy of the report below 

Key Questions Answered


  • What is the status of vehicle automation in 2016 and 2017? And how will it change over the period of next 20 years?
  • Which markets are currently leading in vehicle automation and which markets are expected to make significant difference in the future?
  • What is the penetration rate of SAE Level 1 and 2 in car sales across different markets in 2016 and 2017? And what is the expected penetration rate of SAE Level 3 and above solutions across different geographies and markets between 2019 and 2030?
  • Which OEMs lead L2 deployment in 2016 and 2017 and why?
  • What are the regulatory and engineering challenges carmakers face for the deployment of higher level of vehicle autonomy?
  • What is the status of autonomous driving regulation in major car markets?
  • What are the differences in the legal and regulatory framework in Europe and the United States and how this will it affect L3-5 deployment?
  • What breakthroughs are required in the area of SW/HW and validation for L3-5?
  • How carmakers, Tier-1s and new-entrants, including tech giants plan to overcome the challenges and commercialize autonomous driving?
  • How do leading OEMs plan to achieve L4/5 capabilities and when?
  • What are the major OEM strategies, new business models and key collaborations?
  • Why leading Tier-1s are well positioned to monetize ADAS growth?
  • What are the sales, market size, and pricing trend of sensing technologies in ADAS and autonomous driving market from 2016 to 2030?

List of Companies


Audi
Baidu

BMW

Ford

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA)

GM

Hyundai - Kia Motors

PSA Groupe

Renault Nissan Mitsubishi

Tesla

Toyota

Waymo
Bosch

Continental

Autoliv

Delphi

Valeo

Denso

Hella

Magna

Intel

Nvidia


Not an exhaustive list. Please check the list in the Abstract

View The Abstract


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